{"id":4309,"date":"2021-04-09T11:09:33","date_gmt":"2021-04-09T03:09:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/\/?p=4309"},"modified":"2021-04-20T13:13:04","modified_gmt":"2021-04-20T05:13:04","slug":"%e9%80%9a%e5%8d%9a%ef%bd%9c%e9%81%8b%e5%bd%a9%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%ef%bc%9a%e6%ad%90%e8%b3%a0%e5%92%8c%e4%ba%9e%e7%9b%a4-%e4%b8%8b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/\/%e9%80%9a%e5%8d%9a%ef%bd%9c%e9%81%8b%e5%bd%a9%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%ef%bc%9a%e6%ad%90%e8%b3%a0%e5%92%8c%e4%ba%9e%e7%9b%a4-%e4%b8%8b1.html","title":{"rendered":"\u901a\u535a\uff5c\u904b\u5f69\u5206\u6790\uff1a\u6b50\u8ce0\u548c\u4e9e\u76e4 (\u4e0b1)"},"content":{"rendered":"
\u6211\u65bc2008-1-4\u4e0b\u5348\u4e94\u9ede\u958b\u59cb\u7684\u6fb3\u6d32\u806f\u8cfd\u7d10\u5361\u65af\u6258-\u963f\u5fb7\u840a\u5fb7\u806f\u6bd4\u8cfd\u70ba\u4f8b\u4f86\u5c0d\u5be6\u529b\u9032\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff1a<\/p>\n
\u901a\u535a \u904b\u5f69 \u65b9\u6cd5 \u5fc3\u614b \u7d93\u9a57 \u9ad4\u80b2 \u6280\u5de7 \u77e5\u8b58 \u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce<\/p>\n
\u901a\u904e\u5206\u6790\u4e0a\u9762\u56db\u9ede\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\u7684\u770b\u5230\u5169\u968a\u8655\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u5e73\u5206\u79cb\u8272\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c
\n\u56e0\u6b64\u904e\u5f80\u6b77\u53f2\u76e4\u53e3\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u6210\u70ba\u672c\u5834\u6bd4\u8cfd\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u53c3\u8003\u4f9d\u64da\uff0c\u800c\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e3b\u968a\u4e3b\u5834\u76e4\u53e3\u662f\u4e9e\u76e4\u5e73\u624b\u76e4\uff0c
\n\u6b50\u8ce0\u57282.35-2.60\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u672c\u5834\u6bd4\u8cfd\u7684\u5408\u7406\u76e4\u53e3\u4e5f\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u4e3b\u968a2.35-2.60\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u800c\u4e5f\u5ba2\u968a\u7684\u6b50\u8ce0\u61c9\u8a72\u57282.50-2.80\u4e4b\u9593\u3002
\n\u00a0
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\n\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u9019\u500b\u6b50\u8ce0\u7684\u958b\u51fa\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e3b\u968a\u66f4\u70ba\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u7684\u8cfd\u679c\u5206\u6790\u9084\u9700\u8981\u5c0d\u4e9e\u76e4\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u89e3\u6790\u624d\u80fd\u4e0b\u7d50\u8ad6\uff0c
\n\u5728\u9019\u88e1\u6211\u53ea\u662f\u8209\u4f8b\u4f86\u5206\u6790\u7403\u968a\u7684\u5be6\u529b\uff0c\u8b93\u5927\u5bb6\u77ad\u89e3\u6574\u500b\u6b65\u9a5f\u3002<\/p>\n
Lottery case analysis
\nI analyzed the strength of the Australian League Newcastle-Adelaide United match starting at 5
\npm on
\n2008-1-4 as an example:
\nIn the last five games, the home team has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, and the away team has 1
\nwin, 2 draws
\nand 2 losses.<\/p>\n
From this point of view, the home team should be in a relatively stable state than the away
\nteam, but there is no
\nabsolute state advantage.<\/p>\n
However, judging from the home and away results, the home team\u2019s performance at home is not as
\ngood as the away
\ngame and only won twice, while the away team\u2019s away results are not bad, with only two losses in
\n9 games, so
\nfrom the first point of view, two The team is comparable.<\/p>\n
Judging from the historical battle record, the two sides happened to be tied, and even the last
\nthree historical
\nbattles showed that the two sides were evenly divided, so there is no big difference in this
\naspect.
\nIn terms of league rankings, the home team is 4 and the away team is 5, which is also on par.
\nIn terms of team reputation, the Chinese may be more familiar with the visiting team, but
\nbasically, there
\nshould not be much difference when there are not many Australian teams.
\nBy analyzing the above four points, we can clearly see that the two teams are in an evenly
\ndivided
\nsituation.
\nTherefore, the historical handicap in the past can be an important reference for this game, and
\nthe most
\nrecent home handicap for the home team is the Asian handicap.
\nThe European compensation is around 2.35-2.60.
\nIn this case, the reasonable handicap for this game should also be around 2.35-2.60 for the home
\nteam, and
\nthe European loss for the away team should be between 2.50-2.80.<\/p>\n\u901a\u535a.cc \u7c89\u7d72\u5c08\u9801<\/a>\n\u901a\u535a.cc \u63a8\u7279\u5c08\u9801<\/a>\n\u76f8\u95dc\u6587\u7ae0:<\/h3>\n
\u901a\u535a\u6d3b\u52d5:<\/span><\/h2>\n